The EU’s modernization wave is a much-needed step – but it won’t get us to net zero

The EU’s modernization wave is a much-needed step – but it won’t get us to net zero

Retrofitting or repurposing buildings to make them more energy efficient and livable is crucial for addressing the climate emergency through reaching net zero carbon emissions. The EU’s “renovation wave” target is a clear step forward – but it can and should go further.

Published 14-09-2023

The European Commission launched its Green Deal “renovation wave” in 2020 to help fight climate change and reach net zero emissions by the middle of the century. It is a policy aimed at boosting the number of buildings that receive a makeover of their energy efficiency and eco-performance, and is one of the measures to meet the obligations of the Paris Agreement – a global pact to limit temperature rise to well below 2°C.

The renovation wave sets a target of increasing EU building modernization projects from 1% to 3% per year. It is a significant step, but Hanna Uusitalo, KONE’s vice president for environment and sustainability, argues that much more can be done.

“The need is there and the will, and the resilient supply to go with it,” Uusitalo says. “We should be talking about increasing the percentage of building modernization projects to as much as 7% to 10% annually.”

People entering and exiting a hotel lobby, person waiting for an elevator in the background.
Successful modernization requires adapting the building's people flow to meet the changing needs of its users.

Modernization benefits the planet and people

Uusitalo points out that modernizing buildings is about more than just reducing their energy consumption. It’s about modernizing buildings to put people first. Improving the people flow within a building by retrofitting its elevators means it can better serve its users long into the future and avoid becoming obsolete, such as in this Madrid office block.

The case for more modernization is clear. Buildings contribute substantially to the greenhouse gas emissions that cause climate change, accounting for 40% of Europe’s energy consumption. Three-quarters of this energy is produced during the building’s operations and the rest in the manufacturing of construction materials.

What’s more, Uusitalo cites a 2017 study which found that as much as 97% of Europe’s existing building stock needs an energy-efficiency upgrade.

“The renovation wave will start off gradually on many levels, then eventually accelerate.”

Ruben Zonnevijlle, Program Manager at the Dutch Green Building Council (DGBC) agrees with the urgency for more modernization. He also believes that the EU Green Deal needs to go further if the European Commission is to meet its target of reducing greenhouse gas emissions by the end of the decade to at least 55% of 1990 levels.

Nonetheless, he sees the direction of travel as positive.

“It is a wave,” Zonnevijlle says, “that will start off gradually on many levels, then eventually accelerate.” Initially, there will be a lot of challenges to implementing the policy, not least enforcing the law at country levels. To help tackle the rollout of energy-efficient renovation policies, the World Green Building Council is creating roadmaps and tools, such as strategies to “Paris-proof” a building, and sustainability assessments.

City view of The Hague with low-rise and high-rise buildings.
Cities can only become carbon neutral by renovating and retrofitting existing buildings.

Our future cities are already here

The good news is that the future cities of 2050 have already been built. “Around 80% of the buildings we have today will still exist in 2050,” Uusitalo says. “Now all we have to do is make them smarter, cleaner and carbon neutral. We have to modernize and repurpose, to bring the existing onto a par with the new.”

Successful modernization and repurposing of buildings begins with understanding, updating and optimizing people flow and accessibility. "Smart readiness is about putting people at the center of the modernization – so working together to first understand people flow in offices, hospitals, hotels, leisure facilities – in hubs which are connecting people.”

The renewal of Boston’s TD Garden sports arena in the USA is a case in point, where the modernization involved a host of smart people flow solutions, making the building suitable for the changed needs of modern visitors.

“Around 80% of the buildings we have today will still exist in 2050. Now all we have to do is make them smarter, cleaner and carbon neutral.”

“It's also about better understanding how people use a building. If they're using just one floor, then avoid wasting energy on the other floors that are empty,” Uusitalo adds.

Uusitalo sees city managers and planners as being in the driving seat. The EU Commission last year announced a project to make 100 cities climate-neutral by 2030. These cities will act as experimental ecosystems to help other cities in their transition to climate-neutral by 2050. But what Uusitalo was most impressed by was that 400 cities applied. “So the will is there!”

Couple with luggage pressing the elevator button.
Smart and energy-efficient solutions play an essential role in sustainable building modernization.

Smart elevators enable efficient people flow – and can even produce electricity

One innovative way that KONE elevators reduce emissions as part of building modernization is through the addition of regenerative drives that capture and store energy that would otherwise be wasted, and re-use it to power the motor. Systems are also getting smarter. Elevators can optimize energy use by adjusting based on factors like occupancy and time of day. Advanced algorithms can also group passengers going to the same floor, reducing the number of stops and minimizing operation time.

Zonnevijlle also praises closed-loop operations from manufacturers like KONE, offering “products as service” with predictive maintenance and end-of-life component replacement. This contributes to energy efficiency and the development of a circular economy, for example by recovering valuable materials from upgrades and recycling or repurposing them into new or existing value chains.

KONE is already working with its own customers to tackle the challenges of finding new circular models. There is a need for education, attracting and training people for new circular approaches, leveraging automation, data sets, and techniques for dismantling heavy parts, as well as quick connections between buyers and sellers. Uusitalo envisions a future solution that might resemble a dating app.

“Imagine a platform for circularity,” Uusitalo says, “powered by AI and linking emerging value networks and efficient transactions.”

Meanwhile reducing kilowatt usage in a building requires the widespread use of equipment like solar panels and heat pumps, or upgrading heating, ventilation and air-conditioning (HVACs). “These extra materials all have to be manufactured, which in itself generates more emissions, so-called embodied-carbon emissions,” Zonnevijlle explains.

But given that existing buildings have already consumed significant amounts of embodied energy during their original construction, renovation rather than demolition and building anew is generally the lower-emission choice by far, making it a necessary step towards a sustainable and climate-friendly future.

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